ABC Interactive English No. 253 July, 2023 Contents 每日一句 How Is Your Day? 你今天過得如何？ 本月焦點 At the Beach 海灘 A Day at the Beach 海灘一日遊 世界好望角 A Discovery in Italy May Rewrite History 改寫義大利歷史的新出土文物 流行最前線 Be Your True Self on BeReal 展現真我，盡在BeReal 文法補給站 You Are Braver Than I 你比我更勇敢 Which Is Better? 哪一個比較好？ 畫中有話 Going Biking 自行車之旅 品格英語 Practicing What You Learned Properly 練習，讓你更好 短篇故事集 The Shirt Collar 〈領子先生〉 安妮信箱 Is College Necessary? 上大學是必要的嗎？ 玩味生活 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest 納森吃熱狗大賽 活用 ABC Here’s an Invitation for You 用英語邀約他人 旅遊特輯 Guayaquil: Ecuador’s Prize of the Pacific 瓜亞基爾：太平洋的濱海明珠 Santa Ana Hill 聖安娜山 Parque Seminario 聖納里歐公園 Malecon 2000 馬爾康2000 Isla de Santay 桑迪島 聽說圖寫 Visiting a Zoo 參觀動物園 本月之星 羅莎莎

ABC Interactive English No. 252 June, 2023 Contents 每日一句 When You Are at Work 工作相關實用句 品格英語 The Ship of Friendship 友誼的真諦 本月焦點 Outdoor Activities 戶外活動 Let’s Go Outside and Play! 戶外玩很大！ 世界好望角 What’s Up with the Leaning Tower of Pisa? 比薩斜塔為何會傾斜？ 活用 ABC Eating Out 外食必備英語 名人傳記 Ruth Bader Ginsburg: The Champion of Gender Equality 金斯伯格：性別平等的擁護者 畫中有話 Making Air Fryer Fried Chicken 用氣炸鍋製作炸雞 流行最前線 Having a Conversation with ChatGPT 最會話的聊天機器人：ChatGPT 文法補給站 How to Do Something 如何完成某事物 What’s the Answer? 答案是什麼？ 短篇故事集 The Little Old Woman Who Lived in a Shoe 〈鞋屋裡的老太太〉 安妮信箱 Learn to be Thankful 學會感恩 克漏字測驗 The Chinese Childrenhome & Shelter Association 中華育幼機構兒童關懷協會 悠遊文化 UNESCO Includes the Baguette as a Cultural Heritage 長棍麵包被列為文化遺產 小地方大玩意 Welcome to the Valley of Frogs—Neidong National Forest Recreation Area 林中秘境：內洞國家森林遊樂區 ABC長知識 The Marshmallow Test: A Key to Success? 你知道棉花糖實驗嗎？ 聽說圖寫 Music Festival 音樂祭 本月之星 沒有才能

Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. They may also be successful or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgements and appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using simple, wellquantified cases drawn from military history, we claim that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis. Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a general audience who are interested in learning more about statistical methods both in military history and for wider applications. Key Features: This book demonstrates how modern statistical techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions. It examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern scholars and historical actors. It combines historical narrative, mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history. It provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity and rigour of works of counterfactual history. It is written in a manner accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or Statistics.

04 Live關鍵時事新聞 09 焦點話題 10 大師名作選 Pyramus and Thisbe 〈皮拉慕斯與席絲比〉 14 節慶文化 Festa Junina: A Brazilian Festival That Lasts the Entire Month of June 歡慶巴西六月節 18 克漏字 Rolling Out Plate after Plate of Delicious Sushi 一盤接一盤：美味的迴轉壽司 20 英語聽力測驗1 21 主題式會話 At a Pharmacy 藥局英語 24 焦點人物 The True Grit and Talent of Hailee Steinfeld 海莉．史坦菲德：真正的勇氣和才華 28 健康知識 Do You Need to Reset Your Body Clock? 你需要重設生理時鐘嗎？ 32 生活科學素養 Why Oil and Water Don’t Mix 為什麼油水不相溶？ 35 翻譯練習 Translation Practice 翻譯練習 38 運動趣聞 Row, Row, Row Your Boat 一起來划船吧！ 42 生活情境對話 Sip into Summer 夏日開懷暢飲 45 英語聽力測驗2 46 發現臺灣 The Magic of Yehliu Geopark 鬼斧神工的野柳地質公園 48 動物趣聞 Chipmunks: More Than Just a Cute Face 花栗鼠：不只有張呆萌的臉蛋 52 唱歌學英語 Stydying English with Songs: drunk text 亨利．莫迪：〈醉後亂訊〉 53 閱讀素養專欄 Stars of the Sea 海星：大海中最吸睛的明星 56 旅遊好去處 Enjoy Summer Fun in Croatia 在克羅埃西亞享受一夏 60 全民英檢中級模擬聽力試題 62 看預告片學英文 63 中文翻譯與解答 71 全民英檢中級模擬試題解答 77 單字卡

Your History of the NFL begins in 1933 after the NFL made 3 major changes to advance the sport. One nice outcome was fewer 0-0 ties! Follow the changes, the legends, the many stars, the leaders, and even the recent scandals. There’s plenty here for the football lover! § Year-end Standings § League news highlights rule changes, trends, trades, list of rookies and those in final year § Noteworthy games – high scores, individual performances, top defensive and offensive stats. § Leader board: the season’s top individual leaders on Offense (Rushers, Passers, Receivers, and Scorers) and Defense § Year-end Awards includes those drafted first and new candidates in the Hall of Fame § Championship Game/Super Bowl outcomes

World leaders have made a forceful statement that climate change is the greatest challenge facing humanity in the 21st century. However, little progress has been made in implementing policies to address climate change. In Climate Uncertainty and Risk, eminent climate scientist Judith Curry shows how we can break this gridlock. This book helps us rethink the climate change problem, the risks we are facing and how we can respond to these challenges. Understanding the deep uncertainty surrounding the climate change problem helps us to better assess the risks. This book shows how uncertainty and disagreement can be part of the decision-making process. It provides a road map for formulating pragmatic solutions. Climate Uncertainty and Risk is essential reading for those concerned about the environment, professionals dealing with climate change and our national leaders.

View the abstract.

The Routledge Handbook of Soft Power (2nd Edition) offers a comprehensive, detailed, and ground-breaking examination of soft power – a key factor in cultural diplomacy, cultural relations, and public diplomacy. Interrogating soft power as influence, the handbook examines manifestations in media, public mind, policy, and theory – in a fraught geopolitical climate, one demanding reconceptualization of soft power’s role in state and civic society behaviour. Part I provides important new conceptualization and critical analysis of soft power from international relations, philosophical, and other social theoretical perspectives; analyses multiple methods of soft power measurement and makes proposals; and connects soft power innovatively with other concepts Part II addresses soft power and contemporary issues by examining new technology and soft power intentions, soft power and states’ performance during the global pandemic, and soft power and values Part III investigates cases from China, France, Greece, Israel, Japan, Kazhakstan, Poland, Russia, South Korea, Spain, Türkiye, and the United States – some in combination. This innovative handbook is a definitive resource for inquirers into soft power desiring to familiarize themselves with cutting-edge debates and research. It will be of interest and value to students, researchers, and policy makers working in cultural relations, international communication, international relations, public diplomacy, and contiguous fields.

A Clash of Civilisations is not inevitable, yet danger mounts the longer the West ignores its top forecaster. In 2023, the OECD sees China's economy as 27% bigger than the US: by mid-century 70%. India too will be larger, leaving America as No.3. Time to Get Real: listen to economists, especially development economists, and those in business who know China.Three giant shocks lurk right ahead for the West: economic, demographic and competence. 90% of the world's population will soon be non-Western: no more accepting exclusion from global decision making. After COVID, Afghanistan and domestic turmoil, many question Western competence to get things right, let alone avoid nuclear destruction.Economic size, not military might, is what counts among Great Powers. As leading military historian Paul Kennedy wrote, military strength is, 'inextricably intertwined with economic power and technological progress'. This need not threaten the West if understood and managed properly. Indeed, it would mitigate the real existential threats, from the environment to war. Otherwise nuclear conflict, Kissinger's 'Armageddon-like clash', is ever more likely.A New New World with growing muscle and some different ideas is emerging. How can the West best respond? The book proposes a Biden-Xi Grand Bargain, as Nixon struck with Mao. Grasp what Yin and Yang offer, as opposites can support each other for lasting mutual benefit.