Create and improve fully automated forecasts for time series data with strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python Purchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free PDF eBook Key Features Explore Prophet, the open source forecasting tool developed at Meta, to improve your forecasts Create a forecast and run diagnostics to understand forecast quality Fine-tune models to achieve high performance and report this performance with concrete statistics Book DescriptionForecasting Time Series Data with Prophet will help you to implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques to model future data with high accuracy using only a few lines of code. This second edition has been fully revised with every update to the Prophet package since the first edition was published two years ago. An entirely new chapter is also included, diving into the mathematical equations behind Prophet's models. Additionally, the book contains new sections on forecasting during shocks such as COVID, creating custom trend modes from scratch, and a discussion of recent developments in the open-source forecasting community. You'll cover advanced features such as visualizing forecasts, adding holidays and trend changepoints, and handling outliers. You'll use the Fourier series to model seasonality, learn how to choose between an additive and multiplicative model, and understand when to modify each model parameter. Later, you'll see how to optimize more complicated models with hyperparameter tuning and by adding additional regressors to the model. Finally, you'll learn how to run diagnostics to evaluate the performance of your models in production. By the end of this book, you'll be able to take a raw time series dataset and build advanced and accurate forecasting models with concise, understandable, and repeatable code.What you will learn Understand the mathematics behind Prophet’s models Build practical forecasting models from real datasets using Python Understand the different modes of growth that time series often exhibit Discover how to identify and deal with outliers in time series data Find out how to control uncertainty intervals to provide percent confidence in your forecasts Productionalize your Prophet models to scale your work faster and more efficiently Who this book is forThis book is for business managers, data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, and software engineers who want to build time-series forecasts in Python or R. To get the most out of this book, you should have a basic understanding of time series data and be able to differentiate it from other types of data. Basic knowledge of forecasting techniques is a plus.

Create and improve high-quality automated forecasts for time series data that have strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python Key Features Learn how to use the open-source forecasting tool Facebook Prophet to improve your forecasts Build a forecast and run diagnostics to understand forecast quality Fine-tune models to achieve high performance, and report that performance with concrete statistics Book Description Prophet enables Python and R developers to build scalable time series forecasts. This book will help you to implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques to model future data with higher accuracy and with very few lines of code. You will begin by exploring the evolution of time series forecasting, from the basic early models to the advanced models of the present day. The book will demonstrate how to install and set up Prophet on your machine and build your first model with only a few lines of code. You'll then cover advanced features such as visualizing your forecasts, adding holidays, seasonality, and trend changepoints, handling outliers, and more, along with understanding why and how to modify each of the default parameters. Later chapters will show you how to optimize more complicated models with hyperparameter tuning and by adding additional regressors to the model. Finally, you'll learn how to run diagnostics to evaluate the performance of your models and see some useful features when running Prophet in production environments. By the end of this Prophet book, you will be able to take a raw time series dataset and build advanced and accurate forecast models with concise, understandable, and repeatable code. What you will learn Gain an understanding of time series forecasting, including its history, development, and uses Understand how to install Prophet and its dependencies Build practical forecasting models from real datasets using Python Understand the Fourier series and learn how it models seasonality Decide when to use additive and when to use multiplicative seasonality Discover how to identify and deal with outliers in time series data Run diagnostics to evaluate and compare the performance of your models Who this book is for This book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, software engineers, project managers, and business managers who want to build time series forecasts in Python. Working knowledge of Python and a basic understanding of forecasting principles and practices will be useful to apply the concepts covered in this book more easily.

This proceedings book presents selected papers from the 10th international conference on the "Economies of the Balkan and Eastern European Countries in the Changing World" (EBEEC), held in Warsaw, Poland, in May 2018. In addition to discussing the latest research, it includes papers adopting a wide variety of theoretical approaches and empirical methodologies and covering a number of key areas, such as international economics, economic growth, finance and banking, insurance, healthcare, agriculture, labor and energy markets, innovation, management and marketing. In addition, the authors discuss policy instruments and best practices for the region. This book appeals to scholars and students in fields of economics and finance as well as practitioners interested in the development of the region.

The book is centrally focused on human computer Interaction and how sensors within small and wide groups of Nano-robots employ Deep Learning for applications in industry. It covers a wide array of topics that are useful for researchers and students to gain knowledge about AI and sensors in nanobots. Furthermore, the book explores Deep Learning approaches to enhance the accuracy of AI systems applied in medical robotics for surgical techniques. Secondly, we plan to explore bio-nano-robotics, which is a field in nano-robotics, that deals with automatic intelligence handling, self-assembly and replication, information processing and programmability.

This book features research papers presented at the International Conference on Emerging Technologies in Data Mining and Information Security (IEMIS 2020) held at the University of Engineering & Management, Kolkata, India, during July 2020. The book is organized in three volumes and includes high-quality research work by academicians and industrial experts in the field of computing and communication, including full-length papers, research-in-progress papers and case studies related to all the areas of data mining, machine learning, Internet of things (IoT) and information security.

This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Soft Computing in Data Science, SCDS 2021, which was held virtually in November 2021. The 31 revised full papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 79 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on ​​AI techniques and applications; data analytics and technologies; data mining and image processing; machine & statistical learning.

"Data Science for Everyone: A Beginner's Guide to Big Data and Analytics" is a comprehensive guide for anyone interested in exploring the field of data science. Written in a user-friendly style, this book is designed to be accessible to readers with no prior background in data science. The book covers the fundamentals of data science and analytics, including data collection, data analysis, and data visualization. It also provides an overview of the most commonly used tools and techniques for working with big data. The book begins with an introduction to data science and its applications, followed by an overview of the different types of data and the challenges of working with them. The subsequent chapters delve into the main topics of data science, such as data exploration, data cleaning, data modeling, and data visualization, providing step-by-step instructions and practical examples to help readers master each topic. Throughout the book, the authors emphasize the importance of data ethics and responsible data management. They also cover the basics of machine learning, artificial intelligence, and deep learning, and their applications in data science. By the end of this book, readers will have a solid understanding of the key concepts and techniques used in data science, and will be able to apply them to real-world problems. Whether you are a student, a professional, or simply someone interested in the field of data science, this book is an essential resource for learning about the power and potential of big data and analytics.

With the advent and development of AI and other new technologies, traffic and transportation have changed enormously in recent years, and the need for more environmentally-friendly solutions is also driving innovation in these fields. This book presents the proceedings of ICITT 2023, the 7th International Conference on Intelligent Traffic and Transportation, held from 18-20 September 2023 in Madrid, Spain. This annual conference is becoming one of the leading international conferences for presenting novel and fundamental advances in the fields of intelligent traffic and transportation. It also serves to foster communication among researchers and practitioners working in a wide variety of scientific areas with a common interest in intelligent traffic and transportation and related techniques. ICITT welcomes scholars and researchers from all over the world to share experiences and lessons with other enthusiasts, and develop opportunities for cooperation. The 27 papers included here represent an acceptance rate of 64% of submissions received, and were selected following a rigorous review process. Topics covered include autonomous technology; industrial automation; artificial intelligence; machine, deep and cognitive learning; distributed networking; transportation in future smart cities; hybrid vehicle technology; mobility; cyber-physical systems; design and cost engineering; enterprise information management; product design; intelligent automation; ICT-enabled collaborative global manufacturing; knowledge management; product-service systems; optimization; product lifecycle management; sustainable systems; machine vision; Industry 4.0; and navigation systems. Offering an overview of recent research and current practice, the book will be of interest to all those working in the field.

The two-volume set LNCS 14526 and 14527 constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Information Security and Cryptology, Inscrypt 2023, held in Hangzhou, China, during December 9–10, 2023. The 38 full papers and 7 short papers presented in these proceedings were carefully reviewed and selected from 152 submissions. The papers have been organized in the following topical sections: Part I: Signature; blockchain; cryptography primitive; public key cryptography; security and privacy; Part II: System security; cryptography engineering; cryptanalysis; short papers, posters.

This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the First Conference on Intelligence of Things (ICIT 2022), held in Hanoi, Vietnam, in August 2022. A total of 40 full papers in this book have been rigorously peer-reviewed and selected from over 100 submissions. The papers focused on the intelligence of things (AIoT) studies are organized in the following parts: theoretical intelligence analyses, intelligence services and applications, and intelligence service experiments. This book provides interested students and engineers with comprehensive and cutting-edge studies in the fields.