Practitioners in risk management are familiar with the use of the FHS (filtered historical simulation) to finding realistic simulations of security returns. This approach has become increasingly popular over the last fifteen years, as it is both flexible and reliable, and is now being accepted in the academic community. Simulating Security Returns is a useful guide for researchers, students, and practitioners. It uses the FHS approach to help simulate the returns of large portfolios of securities. While other simulation methods use the covariance matrix of security returns, which suffers the curse of dimensionality even for modest portfolios, Barone Adesi demonstrates how FHS can accurately adjust to current market conditions.

An introduction to the theory and practice of financial simulation and optimization In recent years, there has been a notable increase in the use of simulation and optimization methods in the financial industry. Applications include portfolio allocation, risk management, pricing, and capital budgeting under uncertainty. This accessible guide provides an introduction to the simulation and optimization techniques most widely used in finance, while at the same time offering background on the financial concepts in these applications. In addition, it clarifies difficult concepts in traditional models of uncertainty in finance, and teaches you how to build models with software. It does this by reviewing current simulation and optimization methodology-along with available software-and proceeds with portfolio risk management, modeling of random processes, pricing of financial derivatives, and real options applications. Contains a unique combination of finance theory and rigorous mathematical modeling emphasizing a hands-on approach through implementation with software Highlights not only classical applications, but also more recent developments, such as pricing of mortgage-backed securities Includes models and code in both spreadsheet-based software (@RISK, Solver, Evolver, VBA) and mathematical modeling software (MATLAB) Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, Simulation and Optimization Modeling in Finance offers essential guidance on some of the most important topics in financial management.

An interactive guide to successfully trading in today's markets Mastering the Art of Equity Trading Through Simulation is a guidebook to interactive computer trading simulation designed to provide participants with hands-on experience in making tactical decisions and implementing them in different market environments-from continuous order drive markets to call auction markets, and from dealer markets to dark liquidity pools. By showing traders how to operate in these different markets, this reliable resource quickly reveals a good deal about what trading involves and how market design impacts trading decisions. Provides a virtual platform that gives users hands-on experience in making tactical trading decisions Shows exactly how prices are established in the marketplace Teaches how the structure of a marketplace influences participant decisions Learning to trade through study is like learning about a roller coaster ride verbally. You may get the idea of going up and down and around curves, but will lack the actual experience. Mastering the Art of Equity Trading Through Simulation will get you as close as possible to the markets-without actually going in them-and prepare you to profit once you're really there.

In today's global business environment, the intense competition, the changing and uncertain conditions, and the increasing customer's requirements are challenges for the companies' operational efficiency and profitability. In this context, companies highlight the importance of supply chain design and its holistic understanding in order to achieve and sustain competitive strengths. This book analyses supply chains as complex systems, whose performance is characterized by their structural configuration and emergent behaviour. The author analyses the supply chain structure and behaviour within the scope of complexity science. He focuses on supply chain complexity by means of a literature review and an empirical research, which give insights into the impact of complexity on supply chain performance. Moreover, within this book the supply chain is modelled as a complex system by considering the non-linear relationships of its geo-positioned elements. Finally, an agent based model is developed for the generic supply chain simulation, which allows assessing the impact of complexity on supply chain performance and characterizing the behaviour of supply chain designs. The materials presented in this book contribute to the understanding and management of supply chain complexity. This work complements existing complexity frameworks with a holistic analysis of complexity's impact on the performance of supply chain participants and their network. The findings of this work are relevant for researchers interested in characterizing supply chain phenomena by enabling them to model supply chain structures and to simulate their emergent behaviour. Practitioners can benefit from the provided model and simulation platform by allowing them to dynamically assess the performance of their supply chain designs and strategy definitions. By these means, they improve their decision-making and business profitability. In all, this book contributes towards the development of artificial intellig

This classroom-texted textbook/reference presents a set of useful modeling techniques, describing how these can be combined into a powerful framework for the analysis and design of business systems. These techniques follow an interactive modeling and simulation (IMS) approach, enabling the modeling and simulation of separate parts of the system at different levels of abstraction, and the composition of these parts in a flexible crosscutting manner that preserves the behavior of the individual parts. Topics and features: presents a detailed introduction to the foundations of IMS for business system design, covering protocol modeling and goal modeling semantics; describes the practical application of IMS for business system design, illustrated by a selection of useful case studies; highlights the advantages of this approach to IMS for business system design, with a focus on performance management, motivation modeling, and communication; includes review questions and exercises at the end of each chapter.

This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the First SKLOIS (State Key Laboratory of Information Security) Conference on Information Security and Cryptology, CISC 2005, held in Beijing, China in December 2005. The 33 revised full papers and 32 short papers presented together with 2 invited papers were carefully reviewed and selected from 196 submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on identity based cryptography, security modelling, systems security, signature schemes, symmetric key mechanisms, zero-knowledge and secure computations, threshold cryptography, intrusion detection systems, protocol cryptanalysis, ECC algorithms, applications, secret sharing, and denial of service attacks.

This book provides a new modeling approach for portfolio optimization problems involving a lack of sufficient historical data. The content mainly reflects the author’s extensive work on uncertainty portfolio optimization in recent years. Considering security returns as different variables, the book presents a series of portfolio optimization models in the framework of credibility theory, uncertainty theory and chance theory, respectively. As such, it offers readers a comprehensive and up-to-date guide to uncertain portfolio optimization models.