The Art Of Contrary Thinking

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BOOK EXCERPT:

When everybody thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong.a The ten words quoted above are, according to Humphrey B. Neill, a potent factor behind the economic booms and busts that blight our civilization.a The Mississippi Bubble, Holland's incredible Tulipmania and the New York stock market crash of 1929 are historic examples of disasters magnified and hastened by the pressure of mass opinion.a Neill describes these occurrences in detail and tells the reader how to avoid and recognize the dangers that following the pack can pose to the discerning investor. "

Product Details :

Genre : Business & Economics
Author : Humphrey B. Neill
Publisher : Caxton Press
Release : 1963
File : 220 Pages
ISBN-13 : 0870044885


The Art Of Contrary Thinking

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BOOK EXCERPT:

Distributed by the University of Nebraska Press for Caxton Press "When everybody thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong." The ten words quoted above are, according to Humphrey B. Neill, a potent factor behind the economic booms and busts that blight our civilization. The "Mississippi Bubble", Holland's incredible "Tulipmania" and the New York stock market crash of 1929 are historic examples of disasters magnified and hastened by the pressure of mass opinion. Neill describes these occurrences in detail and tells the reader how to avoid and recognize the dangers that "following the pack" can pose to the discerning investor.

Product Details :

Genre : Social Science
Author : Humphrey Bancroft Neill
Publisher : Caxton Press
Release : 2003
File : 220 Pages
ISBN-13 : 087004110X


The Art Of Contrary Thinking

eBook Download

BOOK EXCERPT:

Distributed by the University of Nebraska Press for Caxton Press "When everybody thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong." The ten words quoted above are, according to Humphrey B. Neill, a potent factor behind the economic booms and busts that blight our civilization. The "Mississippi Bubble", Holland's incredible "Tulipmania" and the New York stock market crash of 1929 are historic examples of disasters magnified and hastened by the pressure of mass opinion. Neill describes these occurrences in detail and tells the reader how to avoid and recognize the dangers that "following the pack" can pose to the discerning investor.

Product Details :

Genre : Social Science
Author : Humphrey Bancroft Neill
Publisher : Caxton Press
Release : 2003
File : 220 Pages
ISBN-13 : 087004110X


Investing In One Lesson

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BOOK EXCERPT:

Why are the smartest, most successful professionals so often failures when it comes to investing? Can stock prices really be so illogical that even doctors and lawyers can't figure them out? Ultimately, is it possible for anyone to decipher the financial markets? Fortunately, the answer is yes. In Investing In One Lesson, investment guru Mark Skousen clearly and convincingly reveals the reasons for the seemingly perverse, unpredictable nature of the stock market. Drawing upon his decades of experience as an investment advisor, writer, and professor, Dr. Skousen explains in one spirited, easy-to-follow lesson why stock prices fluctuate with such apparent irrationality.

Product Details :

Genre : Business & Economics
Author : Mark Skousen
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
Release : 2007-10-19
File : 194 Pages
ISBN-13 : 9781596985445


How Architecture Learned To Speculate

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BOOK EXCERPT:

For the first time, the speculative in architecture becomes a topic of critical research. It is investigated not as idealistic but as strategic acting within endless modernity. This modernity implies that speculation, as strategic acting, is not only applied to economic but also to political and aesthetic values. Values become mobile, valuations become a play with highs and lows, authors (architects) become winners or losers, and culture becomes fashion. Includes projects by NL Architects, MVRDV, Aristide Antonas, FAT, Ralf Schreiber, Pascual Sisto, Ant Farm, Caspar Stracke, OMA, JODI, Kevin Bauman and others. [From publisher's website].

Product Details :

Genre : Architecture
Author : Mona Mahall
Publisher : igmade.edition
Release : 2009
File : 247 Pages
ISBN-13 : 9783000298769


The Ruminator

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Distributed by the University of Nebraska Press for Caxton Press In 1967, Edward Johnson II, founder of Fidelity Investments, launched the Fidelity Contrafund in the hope of providing investors with an alternative that harnesses the power of the Theory of Contrary Opinion, originated by Humphrey B. Neill, author of The Art of Contrary Thinking. Today, the Contrafund has over $60 Bn in assets. "When everybody thinks alike, everyone is likely to be wrong" is the quote that lies at the heart of Neill's investment and political philosophies. In this expanded second edition of The Ruminator the reader will find thought provoking ruminations over the hectic events and conditions that prevailed in the five years between 1968 and 1972; the years during which Neill published a monthly magazine titled The Ruminator and from which these essays are taken.

Product Details :

Genre : Business & Economics
Author : Humphrey B. Neill
Publisher : U of Nebraska Press
Release : 2011-04-01
File : 146 Pages
ISBN-13 : 9780870045011


Think Like The Great Investors

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Achieve a new level of investing and trading success by defeating your worst enemy—yourself Successful trading relies on three vital skills: market analysis, money management, and decision-making. The first two are straightforward skills anyone can learn, but the third is much more difficult. Your ability to make the right decisions isn't based on hard facts, but psychological realities like your own temperament, your own biases, and the biases of other traders. In essence, you can only master the stock market when you master yourself first, and that starts with making the right decisions habitually. Think Like the Great Investors is organised into four distinct parts that show you how to understand your own temperament, the psychology of the market as a whole, your own biases and decision-making errors, and how to practically apply your understanding of these factors into your decision-making system. Written by highly respected investment teacher, speaker, and writer Colin Nicholson Ideal for both inexperienced traders who want to lower their risk as well as experienced traders who lack that one final piece in the trader's skillset For anyone looking for that final piece of the investing puzzle, the answer is right here. With Think Like the Great Investors, you'll leap beyond the final hurdle to super-successful investing . . . yourself.

Product Details :

Genre : Business & Economics
Author : Colin Nicholson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release : 2013-06-13
File : 290 Pages
ISBN-13 : 9781118587171


Contrary Thinking

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This volume collects selected works of Daya Krishna, one of the major Indian philosophers of the the second half of the 20th century.

Product Details :

Genre : Philosophy
Author : Daya Krishna
Publisher : OUP USA
Release : 2011-09-20
File : 342 Pages
ISBN-13 : 9780199795550


Valuation Of Equity Securities History Theory And Application

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BOOK EXCERPT:

This book provides a comprehensive and rigorous treatment of academic and practitioner approaches to equity security valuation. Guided by historical and philosophical insights, conventional academic wisdom surrounding the ergodic properties of stochastic processes is challenged. In addition, the implications of a general stochastic interpretation of equity security valuation are provided. Valuation of Equity Securities will also be a good reference source for students and professionals interested in the theoretical and practical applications of equity securities.

Product Details :

Genre : Business & Economics
Author : Geoffrey Poitras
Publisher : World Scientific Publishing Company
Release : 2010-12-21
File : 765 Pages
ISBN-13 : 9789813107816


The Head Game High Efficiency Analytic Decision Making And The Art Of Solving Complex Problems Quickly

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BOOK EXCERPT:

Become a High Efficiency Analytic Decision maker. We've all been there: faced with a major decision, yet overwhelmed by the very data that is supposed to help us. It’s an all-too-common struggle in the digital age, when Google searches produce a million results in a split second and software programs provide analysis faster than we could ever hope to read it. Adapting the geopolitical and historical lessons gleaned from over two decades in government intelligence, Philip Mudd—an ex–National Security Council staff member and former senior executive at the FBI and the CIA—finally gives us the definitive guidebook for how to approach complex decisions today. Filled with logical yet counterintuitive answers to ordinary and extraordinary problems—whether it be buying a new home or pivoting a failing business model—Mudd’s "HEAD" (High Efficiency Analytic Decision-making) methodology provides readers with a battle-tested set of guiding principles that promise to bring order to even the most chaotic problems, all in five practical steps: • What's the question? Analysts often believe that questions are self-evident, but focusing on better questions up front always yields better answers later. • What are your "drivers?" The human mind has a hard time juggling information, so analysts need a system to break down complex questions into different characteristics or “drivers.” • How will you measure performance? Once the question has been solidified and the "drivers" determined, an analyst must decide what metrics they will use to understand how a problem—and their solution to it—is evolving over time. • What about the data? Rather than looking at each bit of information on its own and up front, an analyst can only overcome data overload by plugging data into their "driver" categories and excising anything that doesn't fit. • What are we missing? Complex analysis isn't easy, so it is imperative to assume that the process is flawed, while also knowing how to check for possible gaps and errors, such as availability bias, halo effects, and intuitive versus analytic methodologies. Drawing deeply from his own harrowing experiences—and mistakes—in the line of duty, Mudd has spent years refining and teaching his methodology to Fortune 500 companies and government organizations. Now, in the best-selling tradition of Charles Duhigg's The Power of Habit and Oren Klaff's Pitch Anything, Philip Mudd's The HEAD Game can change the way you both live and work.

Product Details :

Genre : Business & Economics
Author : Philip Mudd
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
Release : 2015-04-06
File : 302 Pages
ISBN-13 : 9780871407894