In this project on wind power analysis and forecasting using machine learning with Python, we started by exploring the dataset. We examined the available features and the target variable, which is the active power generated by wind turbines. The dataset likely contained information about various meteorological parameters and the corresponding active power measurements. To begin our analysis, we focused on the regression task of predicting the active power using regression algorithms. We split the dataset into training and testing sets and preprocessed the data by handling missing values and performing feature scaling. The preprocessing step ensured that the data was suitable for training machine learning models. Next, we trained several regression models on the preprocessed data. We utilized algorithms such as Linear Regression, Decision Tree Regression, Random Forest Regression, and Gradient Boosting Regression. Each model was trained on the training set and evaluated on the testing set using performance metrics like mean squared error (MSE) and R-squared score. After obtaining regression models for active power prediction, we shifted our focus to predicting categorized active power using machine learning models. This involved converting the continuous active power values into discrete categories or classes. We defined categories based on certain thresholds or ranges of active power values. For the categorized active power prediction task, we employed classification algorithms. Similar to the regression task, we split the dataset, preprocessed the data, and trained various classification models. Common classification algorithms used were Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machines (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Decision Trees, Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, Extreme Gradient Boosting, Multi-Layer Perceptron, and Light Gradient Boosting models. During the training and evaluation of classification models, we used performance metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score to assess the models' predictive capabilities. Additionally, we analyzed the classification reports to gain insights into the models' performance for each category. Throughout the process, we paid attention to feature scaling techniques such as normalization and standardization. These techniques were applied to ensure that the features were on a similar scale and to prevent any bias or dominance of certain features during model training. The results of predicting categorized active power using machine learning models were highly encouraging. The models demonstrated exceptional accuracy and exhibited strong classification performance across all categories. The findings from this analysis have significant implications for wind power forecasting and monitoring systems, allowing for more effective categorization and management of wind power generation based on predicted active power levels. To summarize, the wind power analysis and forecasting session involved dataset exploration, active power regression using regression algorithms, and predicting categorized active power using various machine learning models. The regression task aimed to predict continuous active power values, while the classification task aimed to predict discrete categories of active power. Preprocessing, training, evaluation, and performance analysis were key steps throughout the session. The selected models, algorithms, and performance metrics varied depending on the specific task at hand. Overall, the project provided a comprehensive overview of applying machine learning techniques to analyze and forecast wind power generation.

PROJECT 1: GOLD PRICE ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH PYTHON The challenge of this project is to accurately predict the future adjusted closing price of Gold ETF across a given period of time in the future. The problem is a regression problem, because the output value which is the adjusted closing price in this project is continuous value. Data for this study is collected from November 18th 2011 to January 1st 2019 from various sources. The data has 1718 rows in total and 80 columns in total. Data for attributes, such as Oil Price, Standard and Poor’s (S&P) 500 index, Dow Jones Index US Bond rates (10 years), Euro USD exchange rates, prices of precious metals Silver and Platinum and other metals such as Palladium and Rhodium, prices of US Dollar Index, Eldorado Gold Corporation and Gold Miners ETF were gathered. The dataset has 1718 rows in total and 80 columns in total. Data for attributes, such as Oil Price, Standard and Poor’s (S&P) 500 index, Dow Jones Index US Bond rates (10 years), Euro USD exchange rates, prices of precious metals Silver and Platinum and other metals such as Palladium and Rhodium, prices of US Dollar Index, Eldorado Gold Corporation and Gold Miners ETF were gathered. To perform forecasting based on regression adjusted closing price of gold, you will use: Linear Regression, Random Forest regression, Decision Tree regression, Support Vector Machine regression, Naïve Bayes regression, K-Nearest Neighbor regression, Adaboost regression, Gradient Boosting regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting regression, Light Gradient Boosting regression, Catboost regression, and MLP regression. The machine learning models used predict gold daily returns as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor classifier, Random Forest classifier, Naive Bayes classifier, Logistic Regression classifier, Decision Tree classifier, Support Vector Machine classifier, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting classifier, XGB classifier, MLP classifier, and Extra Trees classifier. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, and scalability of the model. PROJECT 2: WIND POWER ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING USING MACHINE LEARNING WITH PYTHON Renewable energy remains one of the most important topics for a sustainable future. Wind, being a perennial source of power, could be utilized to satisfy our power requirements. With the rise of wind farms, wind power forecasting would prove to be quite useful. It contains various weather, turbine and rotor features. Data has been recorded from January 2018 till March 2020. Readings have been recorded at a 10-minute interval. A longterm wind forecasting technique is thus required. The attributes in the dataset are as follows: ActivePower, AmbientTemperature, BearingShaftTemperature, Blade1PitchAngle, Blade2PitchAngle, Blade3PitchAngle, ControlBoxTemperature, GearboxBearingTemperature, GearboxOilTemperature, GeneratorRP, GeneratorWinding1Temperature, GeneratorWinding2Temperature, HubTemperature, MainBoxTemperature, NacellePosition, ReactivePower, RotorRPM, TurbineStatus, WTG, WindDirection, and WindSpeed. To perform forecasting based on regression active power, you will use: Linear Regression, Random Forest regression, Decision Tree regression, Support Vector Machine regression, Naïve Bayes regression, K-Nearest Neighbor regression, Adaboost regression, Gradient Boosting regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting regression, Light Gradient Boosting regression, Catboost regression, and MLP regression. To perform clustering, you will use K-Means algorithm. The machine learning models used predict categorized active power as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor classifier, Random Forest classifier, Naive Bayes classifier, Logistic Regression classifier, Decision Tree classifier, Support Vector Machine classifier, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting classifier, XGB classifier, and MLP classifier. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 3: MACHINE LEARNING FOR CONCRETE COMPRESSIVE STRENGTH ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION WITH PYTHON Concrete is the most important material in civil engineering. The concrete compressive strength is a highly nonlinear function of age and ingredients. These ingredients include cement, blast furnace slag, fly ash, water, superplasticizer, coarse aggregate, and fine aggregate. The actual concrete compressive strength (MPa) for a given mixture under a specific age (days) was determined from laboratory. This dataset is in raw form (not scaled). There are 1030 observations, 9 attributes, 8 quantitative input variables, and 1 quantitative output variable in dataset. The attributes in the dataset are as follows: Cement (component 1); Blast Furnace Slag (component 2); Fly Ash (component 3); Water (component 4); Superplasticizer (component 5); Coarse Aggregate; Fine Aggregate (component 7); Age; and Concrete compressive strength. To perform regression on concrete compressive strength, you will use: Linear Regression, Random Forest regression, Decision Tree regression, Support Vector Machine regression, Naïve Bayes regression, K-Nearest Neighbor regression, Adaboost regression, Gradient Boosting regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting regression, Light Gradient Boosting regression, Catboost regression, and MLP regression. To perform clustering, you will use K-Means algorithm. The machine learning models used predict clusters as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor classifier, Random Forest classifier, Naive Bayes classifier, Logistic Regression classifier, Decision Tree classifier, Support Vector Machine classifier, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting classifier, XGB classifier, and MLP classifier. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy. PROJECT 4: DATA SCIENCE FOR SALES ANALYSIS, FORECASTING, CLUSTERING, AND PREDICTION WITH PYTHON The dataset used in this project is from Walmart which is a renowned retail corporation that operates a chain of hypermarkets. Walmart has provided a data combining of 45 stores including store information and monthly sales. The data is provided on weekly basis. Walmart tries to find the impact of holidays on the sales of store. For which it has included four holidays’ weeks into the dataset which are Christmas, Thanksgiving, Super bowl, Labor Day. In this project, you are going to analyze, forecast weekly sales, perform clustering, and predict the resulting clusters. The dataset covers sales from 2010-02-05 to 2012-11-01. Following are the attributes in the dataset: Store - the store number; Date - the week of sales; Weekly_Sales - sales for the given store; Holiday_Flag - whether the week is a special holiday week 1 – Holiday week 0 – Non-holiday week; Temperature - Temperature on the day of sale; Fuel_Price - Cost of fuel in the region; CPI – Prevailing consumer price index; and Unemployment - Prevailing unemployment rate. To perform regression on weekly sales, you will use: Linear Regression, Random Forest regression, Decision Tree regression, Support Vector Machine regression, Naïve Bayes regression, K-Nearest Neighbor regression, Adaboost regression, Gradient Boosting regression, Extreme Gradient Boosting regression, Light Gradient Boosting regression, Catboost regression, and MLP regression. To perform clustering, you will use K-Means algorithm. The machine learning models used predict clusters as target variable are K-Nearest Neighbor classifier, Random Forest classifier, Naive Bayes classifier, Logistic Regression classifier, Decision Tree classifier, Support Vector Machine classifier, LGBM classifier, Gradient Boosting classifier, XGB classifier, and MLP classifier. Finally, you will plot boundary decision, distribution of features, feature importance, cross validation score, and predicted values versus true values, confusion matrix, learning curve, performance of the model, scalability of the model, training loss, and training accuracy.

Supervised Machine Learning in Wind Forecasting and Ramp Event Prediction provides an up-to- date overview on the broad area of wind generation and forecasting, with a focus on the role and need of Machine Learning in this emerging field of knowledge. Various regression models and signal decomposition techniques are presented and analyzed, including least-square, twin support and random forest regression, all with supervised Machine Learning. The specific topics of ramp event prediction and wake interactions are addressed in this book, along with forecasted performance. Wind speed forecasting has become an essential component to ensure power system security, reliability and safe operation, making this reference useful for all researchers and professionals researching renewable energy, wind energy forecasting and generation. - Features various supervised machine learning based regression models - Offers global case studies for turbine wind farm layouts - Includes state-of-the-art models and methodologies in wind forecasting

This thesis describes performance measures and ensemble architectures for deterministic and probabilistic forecasts using the application example of wind power forecasting and proposes a novel scheme for the situation-dependent aggregation of forecasting models. For performance measures, error scores for deterministic as well as probabilistic forecasts are compared, and their characteristics are shown in detail. For the evaluation of deterministic forecasts, a categorization by basic error measure and normalization technique is introduced that simplifies the process of choosing an appropriate error measure for certain forecasting tasks. Furthermore, a scheme for the common evaluation of different forms of probabilistic forecasts is proposed. Based on the analysis of the error scores, a novel hierarchical aggregation technique for both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting models is proposed that dynamically weights individual forecasts using multiple weighting factors such as weather situation and lead time dependent weighting. In the experimental evaluation it is shown that the forecasting quality of the proposed technique is able to outperform other state of the art forecasting models and ensembles.

Data Science for Wind Energy provides an in-depth discussion on how data science methods can improve decision making for wind energy applications, near-ground wind field analysis and forecast, turbine power curve fitting and performance analysis, turbine reliability assessment, and maintenance optimization for wind turbines and wind farms. A broad set of data science methods covered, including time series models, spatio-temporal analysis, kernel regression, decision trees, kNN, splines, Bayesian inference, and importance sampling. More importantly, the data science methods are described in the context of wind energy applications, with specific wind energy examples and case studies. Please also visit the author’s book site at https://aml.engr.tamu.edu/book-dswe. Features Provides an integral treatment of data science methods and wind energy applications Includes specific demonstration of particular data science methods and their use in the context of addressing wind energy needs Presents real data, case studies and computer codes from wind energy research and industrial practice Covers material based on the author's ten plus years of academic research and insights

This study explains the data preparation processes, plausibility checking of meteorological parameters, correction of met-mast wind speed, and also the determination of the nominal power of a wind farm using met-mast measurements. The wind speed correction of met-mast FINO1 is evaluated from the perspective of power produced by alpha ventus by using uncorrected and corrected measurements from this met-mast. Afterwards this data is used for the determination of nominal power for alpha ventus.

This book presents state-of-the-art technologies in wind farm layout optimization and control to improve the current industry/research practice. The contents take readers towards a different kind of uncertainty handling through the discussion on several techniques enabling maximum energy harnessing out of uncertain situations. The book aims to give a detailed overview of such concepts in the first part, where the recent advancements in the fields of (i) Wind farm layout optimization, (ii) Multi-objective Optimization and Uncertainty handling in optimization methods, (iii) Development of Machine Learning-based surrogate models in optimization, and (iv) Different types of wake models for wind farms will be discussed. The second part will cover the application of the aforementioned techniques on the wind farm layout optimization and control through several chapters such as (i) Wind farm performance assessment using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) tools, (ii) Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based hybrid wake models, (iii) Long Short-term Memory (LSTM) & Support Vector Regression (SVR) based forecasting and micro-siting, (iv) windfarm micro-siting using data-driven Robust Optimization (RO) as well as Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), (v) Reinforcement learning (RL) based wind farm control and (vi) Application of eXplainable AI (XAI) tools for interpreting wind time-series data. In this manner, the book provides state-of-the-art techniques in the fields of multi-objective optimization, Evolutionary Algorithms, Machine Learning surrogate models, Bayesian Optimization, Data Analysis, and Optimization under Uncertainty and their applications in the field of wind energy generation that can be extremely generic and can be applied to many other engineering fields. This volume will be of interest to those in academia and industry.

The book presents the select proceedings of 9th National Conference on Wind Engineering. It covers the latest technology and research in the areas of wind engineering and wind energy technologies. Various topics covered in this book are wind-resistant design of structures, climate modeling, applications of artificial intelligence and machine learning in fluid mechanics, novel ways to increase the efficiency of wind energy harnessing, characterization of airfoils, modern wind turbine designs and computational wind engineering studies. This book is useful for researchers and professionals in the areas of structural design, wind energy, wind engineering, renewable energy and fluid mechanics.

This presentation summarizes the work to investigate the uncertainty in wind forecasting at different times of year and compare wind forecast errors in different power systems using large-scale wind power prediction data from six countries: the United States, Finland, Spain, Denmark, Norway, and Germany.